As talks to avert looming teacher strikes yielded no progress, new analysis shows that most teachers are facing a 5% real-terms cut to their pay this year.

Trade unions said this week that their meeting with the Department for Education (DfE) was “constructive but largely unsatisfactory” and yielded “no concrete progress”.

The meeting took place as ballots for industrial action by the National Education Union (NEU), NASUWT, and National Association of Head Teachers (NAHT) officially closed this week.

Furthermore, a consultative ballot by the Association of School and College Leaders (ASCL) has also shown that a majority of its members are in favour of proceeding to a formal ballot.

Analysis published this week by the Institute for Fiscal Studies says that with inflation running at around 10%, most teachers are likely to experience real-terms salary cuts this year. Indeed, salaries for teachers on most pay grades are expected to fall by 5% in real-terms in 2022/23 (Sibieta, 2023).

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